Polling for Warren

 After searching for polls for the 2016 Presidential Election, the name Elizabeth Warren doesn’t even make an appearance. Warren has denied rumors and stayed true to herself by saying she isn’t going to run and keeping her distance from obtaining the president title.

If Elizabeth were to declare to run there’s still almost 2 years out so, she would be fine, gaining support and getting her platform figured out there but compared to Hilary Clinton or Jeb Bush she would have a mountain climb just in the fact that she is behind compared to their campaigns.

Polling is essential to predict and guide us as a whole to know what lies ahead. Although, just like we’ve discussed in lecture we know that polls are not always correct especially this far out. With that being said, Warren could still declare to run for president, take the nation by storm and dominated the polls that Clinton is currently dominating, things can check in an instance.

I believe that this far advance nearly two years before the elections the polls are just allowing the voters to see who has announced that they are running, other than that I don’t believe the polls have any predictions for president, for Democratic or Republican candidate then yes, that’s a possibility. For example according to polls if the presidential election were next month it would be Hilary Clinton vs. Jeb Bush for example.

Candidates also take to polls for answers. What are the issues the voter’s want addressed? Where do voters seek information? What are their thoughts? Opinions? Believes?

Issues for the 2016 Presidential Election based on polls so far are:

• ·      Gun Control
• ·      Health Care
• ·      Economy
• ·      Education

·       

(http://uspolitics.about.com/od/Election-2016/fl/2016-Presidential-Election.htm)

In my personal opinion although polls are excellent ways of finding out information, when they are stretched, done correctly, have a good sample size, diversity in that sample size, and answer more in-depth questions. However, nearly two years out, polls cannot correctly predict results, candidates yes but exact percentages then no polls are not useful and reliable tools into predicting what the next two years of campaigning is going to contain. For example, Mitt Romney has declared that he is not running for the 2016 president election but he is still showing up in polls as a front-runner for the Republican Party. Basically polls are helpful to an extent, but currently polls are not reliable.

10 Steps to Tell if a poll is Worthy or Not

1)   Know the purpose and the sponsor of the study

2)   Know who was interviewed

3)   Know how the survey respondents were selected

4)   Know how many people were interviewed

5)   Know the exact wording of the questions used

6)   Know the order and the context of the questions

7)   Recognize that there are “Opinions” and “Non-Opinions”

8)   Check the interpretations of the data

9)   Recognize that what was not reported may be important

10)  Be familiar with the reputations of the organization conducting the study

(http://www.ipspr.sc.edu/publication/Link.htm)